Which country is most likely to win the most medals in Tokyo 2020?
There is no point in guessing either the United States or China.
In fact, since the 1996 Atlanta Games, the United States has won more medals than any other country.
But what is the reason behind its success? The data show that the size of a country’s economy is strongly related to the number of medals that can be earned.
The large economy and population means that the country can not only choose athletes from a large pool of talent, but also fund the elite team for best performance.
But not all countries are as big as China and the United States.
What if the number of national medals won is adjusted for population and wealth? Will the incumbent continue to dominate?
In the table of alternative medals, countries are ranked either by medals per gross domestic product (economic size) or by medals proportional to population size.
Based on the $ 1.3 billion economy, Grenada, a small low-income country in the Caribbean, should have won medals equivalent to 94 medals.
Jamaica’s 11 medals in the 2016 game will be 38, adjusted for a population of 3 million.
The UK is on page 5 of our table. Contrary to its position as the world’s fifth-largest economy, it has reduced the 67 medals won in Rio to just two.
But even after considering its small economy and population, North Korea far outweighs its weight in our numbers (despite not winning in boxing).
Dr. Johann Lewillak, a lecturer in sports economics and finance, said this was because some countries were “successful in the Olympics” to win a huge number of Olympic medals given their GDP and population size. It states.
In some countries, such as India, which has a population of 1.35 billion, it is often at the bottom of most medal tables.
Dr. Rewilak explains that cultural reasons and the country’s strong preference for cricket divert talent and resources from Olympic sports.
Not all countries are destined to win medals at the Olympics, but some are more likely to win gold medals than others.
As a host country, Japan has a unique opportunity to succeed at the medal table.
According to the data, five of the last six host countries have outnumbered previous medals.
So are you likely to win more medals than the 41 you won in 2016?
As in the United States in 1992, there are exceptions. The collapse of the eastern block after the collapse of the Soviet Union benefited the United States at the medal table.
Despite all the data, the unpredictable nature of the sport and the abilities of individual athletes make the end result far from certain.
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Tokyo Olympics: Alternative Medal Table | World News
Source link Tokyo Olympics: Alternative Medal Table | World News