Ebrahim Raisi, a hard-line Muslim judge and a disciple of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, comfortably won the presidential election. But his ostensibly landslide looks like a Pyrrhic victory, and there is no such thing as the general support needed to lead one of the worst crises since the 1979 revolution that founded the Islamic Republic to Iran. I haven’t collected anything.
If this was a test of Iranian confidence in the hybrid, hydra-headed system, where the Supreme Leader-led Okrat and vested interests whipped into commonly elected institutions such as Congress and the President, it failed.
Voter turnout of 48.8% was the lowest in the history of the Islamic Republic presidential election battle. The retiring president Hassan Rouhani was reelected in 2017 with 24 million votes. Raishi got 18 meters. Not only did more than half of the Iranians spur voting, but 3.7m messed up ballots. This is more than Okrat voted for one of Raishi’s weak rivals after banning viable candidates.
In other words, the dissatisfied majority of Iran opposes Raishi. The desire of a young population to rejoin the world, an ancient civilization, embodied by Rouhani’s two victories can no longer be found in the elections whose outcomes were pre-determined by Khamenei and the priests.
The problem is that Raisi has little time to ponder. Iran’s economy is terrible after Iran clashes with the United States and five other world powers to thwart most of Tehran’s nuclear program after former U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew from the 2015 bargain. It is in a state. He probably imposed the strictest sanctions ever imposed on sovereign states. Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign couldn’t give in to Iran, but it worked politically well for hardliners who used it as evidence that the United States shouldn’t be trusted.
Still, leaders like Khamenei and Raishi cannot be satisfied. Iran has experienced regular rebellions domestically and is struggling abroad to manage what was supposed to be an Axis power, but is now a chain of failed states in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. .. This is especially true after the assassination of Kasem Soleimani, commander of the Foreign Legion of the Revolutionary Guard Corps in Baghdad last year.
There is a problem with clergy who have led the judiciary for the past two years, such as the presidential priest Laisi. He is said to be associated with the execution of thousands of political prisoners in 1988. This is a subject that I have avoided when reinventing myself as a populist anti-corruption activist. Unlike Rouhani, the designer of the 2015 nuclear deal, he is under US sanctions.
President Joe Biden is trying to revive the deal and roll back Iran’s uranium enrichment. Iran wants a guarantee against US sanctions that have discouraged foreign investors who may withdraw from the dollar system despite the nuclear deal. We also hope to delist IRGC, a national institution designated by Trump as a terrorist group.Still, the IRGC leaders Paramilitary organization in the Middle East Have Lock Iran’s economy..
There is no doubt that Tehran’s conservative government will facilitate nuclear negotiations, as there are theologians and elected officials on the same page. Especially if the revised transaction is approved under Rouhani and profits are generated under Raishi.But Iran needs money, and the United States and its allies Not all sanctions will be lifted Unless Tehran changes its behavior in neighboring Arab countries.
In addition, the record shows that young, urban and connected Iranian societies oppose Ayatollah until someone opens up a new perspective of hope. This terribly flawed election has not settled the political situation.
Hardliners dominate Iran’s politics
Source link Hardliners dominate Iran’s politics