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Dr. Fouch says the United States will face a “surge” in COVID cases after vacation

Dr. Anthony Fauci said the United States should prepare for a “surge” in COVID cases after millions of people travel during Thanksgiving and records are destroyed nationwide.

On Saturday night, the Covid Tracking Project reported 211,000 cases and 2,445 deaths.

Currently, 101,190 people in the United States are hospitalized with COVID-19.

New data suggest that a smaller proportion of patients with COVID-19 are admitted to hospitals because the national health system is overwhelmed by a tremendous number of new infectious diseases.

Two sets of data show that a positive test result reduces the proportion of people hospitalized.

Hospitals have been forced to tighten restrictions on inpatients, and some patients who may have been hospitalized for treatment during the spring and summer waves are also experiencing increased viral deaths. It suggests that it is currently being rejected.

The seven-day average of reported COVID-19 deaths rose to 2,123, surpassing the record high of 2,116 recorded on April 21.

“Given the decline and surge in data since Thanksgiving, the 7-day average is a particularly useful indicator to look at right now,” the analyst warned.

On Friday, top US infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci warned of a

On Friday, top US infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci warned of a “surge during the surge.”

The FDA will meet Thursday to determine if the vaccine can be safely administered.

The FDA will meet Thursday to determine if the vaccine can be safely administered.

Pfizer’s vaccine has been approved in the United Kingdom, the first officially approved country, but the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has not met until Thursday in the United States.

Professor Marty Makari accused the FDA of a meeting to consider the Pfizer vaccine on December 10, despite having already been approved in the UK on Wednesday.

Professor Marty Makari accused the FDA of a meeting to consider the Pfizer vaccine on December 10, despite having already been approved in the UK on Wednesday.

The Queen (94 years old) and her husband Prince Phillip (99 years old) will be the first to be vaccinated in the UK given their age and will be vaccinated in the coming weeks.

A professor at Johns Hopkins attacked the FDA for continuing to postpone approval of the COVID-19 vaccine. This calls the FDA’s progress “Operation Turtle Speed.”

In a dispatch editorial, Professor Marty Makari said that vaccine approval needs more urgency.

“FDA regulators are wasting valuable time on the green light of the COVID vaccine as more than 2,000 Americans die each day and pandemics continue to starve American society,” McCulley said. I am writing in.

Fouch, the country’s top public health expert, refrained from criticizing the FDA, but warned Friday night that the situation was volatile.

He said Thanksgiving trips may require temporary “dramatic” and “strict” measures (such as closure or suspension of selective procedures) to protect the country’s health care system. He said it was higher.

He said the United States is facing a “surge” in incidents that are likely to continue to grow.

The extent of the Thanksgiving-related surge is not entirely known until almost Christmas-when yet another surge of incidents may begin again, Forch, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said.

Donald Trump is clearly lacking in debate and instead prefers to tweet about how the election was “stolen” from him, and at a Georgia rally, the United States “has a pandemic turning point.” We are welcoming you. “

He urged the country to resume business as usual and declared that “they need to be open.”

Trump is planning 20 White House Christmas gatherings, and photos on social media from an already held party show a crowd of maskless participants nearby.

“FDA regulators are wasting valuable time on the green light of the COVID vaccine as more than 2,000 Americans die each day and pandemics continue to starve American society,” McCulley said. Declared in.

Why the FDA spends so much time approving Pfizer vaccines

FDA Commissioner Steve Hahn said Wednesday that more time was needed to review the raw data from the Pfizer vaccine trial before scientists could make a decision.

This is what happens when everyone gets together and talks by December 10.

step 1

Multiple teams investigate different datasets

According to Hahn, 150 scientists typically consider applications.Given the urgency of the situation, it is unclear if more have been added to the Pfizer or Moderna applications.

They individually examine data on the various components of the vaccine, including:

1) Effectiveness

2) Safety

3) Manufacturing

Then, if all the different groups meet on the 10th to discuss the findings and work together to recommend approval.

Step 2

FDA scientists make recommendations to the advisory board

The advisory board has already begun a meeting to discuss who will be vaccinated first if approved.

Ultimately, you also need to determine if it’s safe to approve.

In that case, we will start shipping from December 15th.

In California, Fouch’s warning had already come true as the state was further closed and a vast area of ​​39 million people was closed.

According to the Covid Tracking Project, 25,068 new cases were reported on Saturday. It increased by 10.8% in 7 days.

Currently, 10,273 people are hospitalized in the state.

On Thursday, the bay area, home to about 8.5 million people, was preemptively blocked, closing many of its non-essential businesses before Governor Gavin Newsom’s 85% capacity threshold was reached in the hospital’s intensive care unit. did.

Newsom’s recommendation has already been implemented in Los Angeles County, which has a population of 10 million, closed all restaurants on November 22, and ordered all residents to stay home if possible. Made in addition to the existing restrictions that exist.

On December 2, the City of Los Angeles subsequently imposed its own blockade, reflecting the blockade of LA County.

“My message is no easier than that. It’s time to hunt down,” said then-Mayor of Los Angeles, Eric Garcetti.

“It’s time to cancel everything. And if it’s not required, don’t do it.”

People are lining up to be tested for COVID-19 in North Hollywood on Saturday

People are lining up to be tested for COVID-19 in North Hollywood on Saturday

People drop test kits on Saturday at a test site receptacle in the North Hollywood section of Los Angeles

People drop test kits on Saturday at a test site receptacle in the North Hollywood section of Los Angeles

Within the region, there was growing dissatisfaction with the perceived contradictions. The school was closed, but grocery shopping in the store was allowed. The playground was closed with tape, but tourists were able to interact in the crowd at the maskless Santa Monica Pier.

The shopping mall remained open, shooting continued, and until recently the gym and nail salon were also open.

Jon Favreau, co-host of the popular political podcast PodSave America, tweeted that communication about rules was “evil, confusing, inconsistent, and overly malicious.”

An empty table can be seen outside the restaurant set up for outdoor dining on Friday in Burbank, California

An empty table can be seen outside the restaurant set up for outdoor dining on Friday in Burbank, California

Still, LA County broke one day’s coronavirus case record in four of the last five days this week.

At least 9,218 cases were reported on Saturday, surpassing the reported Friday record of 8,562 cases, according to preliminary figures compiled in the LA Times tally. The day’s record was broken on Thursday, with 7,713 cases reported.

LA County currently records an average of nearly 7,000 new coronavirus cases per day last week. This is more than four times faster than the average of about 1,500 new coronavirus cases per day for the week ended November 5th, a month ago.

At least 43 new COVID-19 deaths were recorded on Saturday, and LA County currently records an average of 38 deaths per day, not seen since late July, the region’s last peak. It’s a pace.

COVID fatigue has raised concerns not only in California, but also in hand-washing, wearing masks, and social distance, as exhausted citizens have been alert.

By April, 500,000 people in the United States could die from the coronavirus, according to disturbing new predictions from the University of Washington model.

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) estimates that 538,893 people will die by April 1, and another 270,000 will die from November 30.

If the mask obligations are relaxed, the total will increase to 770,000 by April 1.

In the latest information on Friday, they announced that the peak deaths would be in mid-January, with 3,000 deaths per day, according to calculations.

Vaccinations can help, but only save 9,000 lives by April 1. IHME concluded that a faster scale-up of vaccines for high-risk individuals could save an additional 14,000 lives.

Researchers at IHME have found that the Governor plays the most important role in avoiding mass casualties.

If they order masks and increase their use to 95%, 66,000 lives will be saved by April 1.

Currently, 71% of people always wear a mask when they leave the house, which varies from state to state.

In South Dakota and Wyoming, researchers found that mask use was less than 50 percent.

California currently has the strictest restrictions, while Florida currently has no restrictions.

Oklahoma, Alaska, South Dakota, Iowa, Idaho, and Missouri have only minimal restrictions: school closures.

The IHME team uses a hybrid modeling approach that incorporates elements of statistical and disease transmission models to inform governments and policy advisors about the expected impact of their decisions.

The team uses data from local and national governments, hospital networks and associations, the World Health Organization, and third-party aggregators.

They found that Covid-19 was the leading cause of death in the United States over the past week, overtaking heart disease, all cancers, strokes and kidney disease.

By the end of this year, IHME predicts that Covid will be the second leading cause of death from heart disease, with 348,311 deaths compared to 557,600 from heart disease.

Dr. Fouch says the United States will face a “surge” in COVID cases after vacation

Source link Dr. Fouch says the United States will face a “surge” in COVID cases after vacation

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