A few months after Republican concerns that Joe Biden was Beijing-friendly, the new US president received unexpected praise from a major Chinese hawk in less than two weeks at the White House.
“President Biden [and his team] Donald Trump’s last national security adviser, Robert O’Brien, spoke with his successor, Jake Sullivan, at an event at the American Institute for Peace.
After four years of turbulent policy making, Democrats and Republicans expect a more structured approach under Mr. Biden. But experts are watching closely for signs of how hawkish he is in the most important US bilateral relations.
“There is a great deal of anxiety about how Biden’s Chinese policy will go, even in Washington, where there are strong concerns about returning to the Obama approach in the mid-2010s,” said American Enterprise. Eric Sayers, an Asian security expert at the institute, said that parts of Japan and Taiwan were also nervous.
The White House said he would have “patience” when Mr Biden designed his Chinese policy. However, he provided some hints on the future direction from the administration’s response to the events in Asia and answers from some of his ministerial candidates at the Senate confirmation hearing.
One clear example is Taiwan. Before stepping into the White House, Mr Biden invited Xiao Bikim to be the first Taiwanese representative to attend the presidential inauguration.
Three days later, the State Department warned China to stop trying to intimidate Taiwan after Chinese fighters and bombers entered Taiwan’s air defenses. Simulated attack At a nearby American aircraft carrier.
At his confirmation hearing Antony BlinkenThe Secretary of State said Mr. Trump was right to be more strict with China. He later agreed that the crackdown on Chinese Muslim Uighurs in the Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region was a “genocide.”
At the Institute for International Policy Studies, Sullivan said Biden would work with China’s allies. But he said he was ready to “impose costs for what China is doing in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, what it is doing in Hong Kong, and the warlikeness and threats it is projecting towards Taiwan.”
His words were a sign that Mr Biden would be tougher than he was when he was Vice President of the Obama administration, and authorities spoke of encouraging Beijing to become a “responsible stakeholder.” ..
“This hypothesis that greater economic involvement with China will be a responsible stakeholder on the world stage proves false,” said Lindsay Gorman, a Chinese expert at the German Marshall Foundation in the United States. The era of US policy making is over. “
“Given the threats faced by democracy from authoritarian actors around the world, expectations for a” China-friendly “Biden policy do not follow reality. “
Biden took action that was welcomed by some hawks, but his team also raised concerns.
At her confirmation hearing, Commerce Department Secretary candidate Gina Raimondo refused to promise to leave Chinese telecommunications equipment maker Huawei on the “entity list.” This allows US companies to list their technologies.
Michael McCaul, a top Republican member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, said she was “significantly and frankly anxious” about not making a promise. In the Senate, several other Republican hawks, including Marco Rubio and Tom Cotton, have also raised flags, indicating that her confirmation may be a speed bump.
A former official said that if Mr Biden took a milder approach to China on issues such as Huawei, he would face “violent disagreements” and face opposition from career bureaucrats. Stated.
When Mr Biden rang the alarm, some critics also rang the alarm. Extend the ban deadline — Created by the Trump administration — about Americans investing in companies allegedly associated with the Chinese military. However, some experts said his team wanted time to clarify policies that would disrupt financial markets and were unlikely to reverse the course due to pressure from Congress.
Paul Haenle, a former Chinese director of the National Security Council (NSC) under both George W. Bush and Barack Obama, said Biden had “done right” in China so far.
“The Trump administration was right to make the shift, but their approach was self-defeating, very inconsistent and scattered,” Henle said, and the new administration advocated a stricter approach to Congress. He added that he had to fight. China.
“Capitol Hill’s shift is bipartisan. Some Democrats don’t want a softer approach,” he said. “It’s important to have a smart approach that is in line with US interests.”
Some Democrats urged international climate emperor and Biden’s friend John Kerry to compromise with China to secure a climate change agreement and to protect the former Secretary of State. I’m worried that I’m doing it. “I know some people are worried. Nothing is sucked up from one area to another,” he said.
This concern was raised by the naming of China’s hawkish Kurt Campbell to coordinate NSC’s Asia-wide policy and by executives of the next generation of Chinese experts who are considered more hawkish against China. The appointment also eased it somewhat. Includes NSC’s Laura Rosenberger, Pentagon’s Kelly Magsamen and Ely Ratner.
“A new generation of Asian hands has emerged in the Democratic Party that takes a much more competitive approach to Beijing,” Sayers said. “It’s this group that we’re looking at right now, and it’s encouraging me to get mid-career jobs throughout the administration.”
To follow Demetri Sevastopulo On twitter
Biden shows his hawkish side in China
Source link Biden shows his hawkish side in China